Researchers still predict an active 2025 hurricane season despite quiet start

Researchers still predict an active 2025 hurricane season despite quiet start

In a recent report, Colorado State University researchers reaffirm their forecast for an above-average 2025 hurricane season: 17 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes. Warm Atlantic waters and neutral El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions are driving the outlook, despite a quiet start.

The team estimates 2025 hurricane activity will be 125% of the 1991–2020 average, slightly lower than 2024’s 130%. The research team identified past years with similar oceanic and atmospheric patterns to forecast:

Chart comparing hurricane averages of past years

The hurricane landfall probabilities remain higher than average across the following areas:

hurricane landfall probabilities chart

For more information, you can view the fill report here.

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Posted by The Orlando Real on June 25th, 2025

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